Saturday, October 24, 2020

2020 B.C. election prediction

With every poll suggesting a large BC NDP plurality in the vote total, perhaps even a rare majority, I predict the seat totals will be:

(Number won or lost compared to 2017 election)

B.C. Liberals: 28 (-15) 

B.C NDP: 58 (+17)

Greens: 0 (-3)

Independent: 1 (+1)


Ridings changing hands:

To NDP from Liberals:

Skeena

Columbia River-Revelstoke

Boundary-Similkameen

Fraser-Nicola

Langley

Surrey-Cloverdale

Richmond-Queensborough

Richmond-South Centre

Richmond-Steveston

Coquitlam-Burke Mountain

Vancouver-False Creek

Vancouver-Langara

North Vancouver-Seymour

Parksville-Qualicum


To NDP from Greens:

Cowichan Valley

Saanich North and the Islands

Oak Bay-Gordon Head


To Independent from Liberals:

Chilliwack-Kent (Laurie Throness)




4 comments:

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